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ACC

North Carolina

2026 Season Performance

#45
Rank
3-2
Record
35.8
Points
0.692
SOS

Current Form

W1 streak
COLD
Last 3 1-2
Last 5 3-2

Key Games

Best W @ #12 Pittsburgh 21-17
Worst L @ #57 Clemson 20-28

Record Splits

Home 1-1
Away 1-1
Neutral 1-0
Conference 1-1
Non-Conf 2-1
Close (7 pts or less) 2-0
FCS Opponents 1

Remaining Schedule

Opponent ranks are today’s and will move
7
games left
#64.9
avg opponent rank
#11
toughest left
53.8
pts if they win out
Week
Opponent
Win worth
7
10-17
@
#42 Duke
4-1
+10.12
8
10-24
vs
#104 Syracuse
2-3
+4.96
9
10-31
vs
#11 Miami
5-0
+7.63
10
11-07
@
#82 UConn
3-3
+10.3
11
11-14
vs
#62 Louisville
3-3
+6.17
12
11-21
@
#60 Virginia
4-2
+9.34
13
11-28
vs
#93 NC State
3-3
+5.28

“Win worth” is base points scaled by location and the opponent’s current strength. It excludes margin and quality-win bonuses, which depend on a result that hasn’t happened.

Rank Progression

#2
#27
#52
#77
#102
Pre
#92
W3
#62
W6
#45
W9
#48
W12
#48
W15
#48

Season Breakdown

Hover Wk 15 pts for details
Week
Game
Score
Wk 6
Wk 15
Diff
1
08/29
W
NR N #37 TCU
15-10
+14.9
+14.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
+1.5 11.5
Win Opp Modifier
-1.5 10.0
Margin Scaling
+1.4 11.4
Against the Spread (+7.5, +12.5)
+3.0 14.4
Total 14.4 pts
-0.4
2
09/12
W
#7 vs #112 East Tennessee State
35-3
+0.0
+0.0
Point Breakdown
FCS Opponent - 0 pts
+0.0
3
09/19
L
#48 @ #57 Clemson
20-28
-7.3
-7.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.7 -5.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -4.8
Margin Scaling
-1.3 -6.1
Against the Spread (+3, -5)
-1.2 -7.4
Total -7.4 pts
-0.0
5
10/03
L
#60 vs #5 Notre Dame
26-37
-3.1
-4.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+4.1 -6.3
Loss Record Modifier
+2.3 -4.0
Margin Scaling
-1.6 -5.7
Recency Weighting
-1.0 -6.7
Against the Spread (+21, +10)
+2.5 -4.2
Total -4.2 pts
-1.0
6
10/10
W
#75 @ #12 Pittsburgh
21-17
+29.8
+24.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
+3.5 13.5
Win Opp Modifier
+7.2 20.7
Margin Scaling
+1.6 22.4
Against the Spread (+3.5, +7.5)
+1.9 24.2
Total 24.2 pts
-5.6
Total
3-2 Record
34.2
27.2
-7.1

All-Time Summary (2016-2026)

11
Seasons
63-61
Record
51%
Win Rate
#63
Avg Rank
#1
Best Rank
0.608
Avg SOS

Final Rank by Season

#1
#34
#67
#100
#134
2016
#38
2017
#110
2018
#111
2019
#65
2020
#21
2021
#65
2022
#33
2023
#34
2024
#61
2025
#107
2026
#48

Season-by-Season Breakdown

Year Conference Record Final Rank Best Rank Points SOS Champion
2026 ACC 3-2 (60%) #48 #7 28.7 0.674 -
2025 ACC 4-8 (33%) #107 #70 -34.3 0.577 -
2024 ACC 6-6 (50%) #61 #7 43.5 0.584 -
2023 ACC 8-4 (67%) #34 #1 77.8 0.628 -
2022 ACC 9-4 (69%) #33 #13 78.6 0.612 -
2021 ACC 6-6 (50%) #65 #33 28.3 0.597 -
2020 ACC 8-3 (73%) #21 #5 100.4 0.597 -
2019 ACC 6-6 (50%) #65 #2 28.7 0.607 -
2018 ACC 2-9 (18%) #111 #73 -55.5 0.580 -
2017 ACC 3-9 (25%) #110 #51 -51.2 0.613 -
2016 ACC 8-4 (67%) #38 #7 85.9 0.615 -