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ACC

North Carolina

2024 Season Performance

#61
Rank
6-6
Record
43.3
Points
0.563
SOS

Current Form

L2 streak
COLD
Last 3 1-2
Last 5 3-2

Key Games

Best W @ #64 Minnesota 19-17
Worst L vs #93 NC State 30-35

Record Splits

Home 3-4
Away 3-2
Conference 3-5
Non-Conf 3-1
Close (7 pts or less) 2-3
FCS Opponents 1

Rank Progression

#2
#26
#50
#74
#98
W1
#7
W4
#54
W7
#82
W10
#53
W13
#51
W15
#61

Season Breakdown

Hover adjusted pts for details
Week
Game
Score
Raw
Adj
Diff
1
08/30
W
NR @ #64 Minnesota
19-17
+18.8
+45.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
+3.5 13.5
Win Opp Modifier
+22.5 36.0
Margin Scaling
+1.4 37.4
Quality Win Bonuses
+1.5 38.9
Recency Weighting
+7.0 45.9
Total 45.9 pts
+27.1
2
09/07
W
#7 vs #127 Charlotte
38-20
+5.9
+10.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
-1.6 7.4
Margin Scaling
+3.0 10.4
Total 10.4 pts
+4.5
3
09/14
W
#34 vs FCS North Carolina Central
45-10
+0.0
+0.0
Point Breakdown
FCS Opponent - 0 pts
+0.0
4
09/21
L
#30 vs #54 James Madison
50-70
-10.5
-12.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.2 -10.6
Loss Record Modifier
+0.2 -10.4
Margin Scaling
-1.6 -12.0
Total -12.0 pts
-1.5
5
09/28
L
#54 @ #17 Duke
20-21
-3.9
-4.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.9 -5.1
Loss Record Modifier
+0.7 -4.4
Margin Scaling
-0.3 -4.7
Total -4.7 pts
-0.7
6
10/05
L
#68 vs #30 Pittsburgh
24-34
-8.0
-10.3
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.0 -9.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.4 -9.0
Margin Scaling
-1.3 -10.3
Total -10.3 pts
-2.2
7
10/12
L
#82 vs #62 Georgia Tech
34-41
-9.9
-9.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.0 -9.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -8.9
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -9.6
Total -9.6 pts
+0.3
9
10/26
W
#88 @ #65 Virginia
41-14
+20.2
+16.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
+3.5 13.5
Win Opp Modifier
-0.9 12.6
Margin Scaling
+4.2 16.8
Total 16.8 pts
-3.4
10
11/02
W
#60 @ #119 Florida State
35-11
+11.7
+12.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
+3.5 13.5
Win Opp Modifier
-5.1 8.4
Margin Scaling
+3.9 12.2
Total 12.2 pts
+0.6
12
11/17
W
#47 vs #92 Wake Forest
31-24
+10.0
+8.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
-1.7 7.3
Margin Scaling
+1.4 8.7
Total 8.7 pts
-1.4
13
11/23
L
21-41
-7.2
-6.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.7 -5.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -5.0
Margin Scaling
-1.8 -6.8
Total -6.8 pts
+0.4
14
11/30
L
#51 vs #93 NC State
30-35
-11.2
-10.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.6 -9.8
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -9.9
Margin Scaling
-0.7 -10.6
Total -10.6 pts
+0.6
Total
6-6 Record
15.8
40.0
+24.2

All-Time Summary (2016-2025)

10
Seasons
60-59
Record
50%
Win Rate
#64
Avg Rank
#1
Best Rank
0.606
Avg SOS

Final Rank by Season

#1
#34
#67
#100
#134
2016
#37
2017
#106
2018
#117
2019
#60
2020
#17
2021
#70
2022
#31
2023
#33
2024
#61
2025
#107

Season-by-Season Breakdown

Year Conference Record Final Rank Best Rank Points SOS Champion
2025 ACC 4-8 (33%) #107 #70 -34.3 0.577 -
2024 ACC 6-6 (50%) #61 #7 43.3 0.563 -
2023 ACC 8-4 (67%) #33 #1 102.4 0.649 -
2022 ACC 9-4 (69%) #31 #1 103.9 0.629 -
2021 ACC 6-6 (50%) #70 #47 30.3 0.598 -
2020 ACC 8-3 (73%) #17 #6 120.4 0.612 -
2019 ACC 6-6 (50%) #60 #2 40.5 0.623 -
2018 ACC 2-9 (18%) #117 #87 -51.6 0.575 -
2017 ACC 3-9 (25%) #106 #74 -28.9 0.614 -
2016 ACC 8-4 (67%) #37 #15 87.9 0.621 -