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ACC

NC State

2026 Season Performance

#93
Rank
3-3
Record
-5.3
Points
0.577
SOS

Current Form

L1 streak
Last 3 2-1
Last 5 3-2

Key Games

Best W vs #74 Louisville 31-28
Worst L @ #40 Vanderbilt 31-35

Record Splits

Home 3-1
Away 0-2
Conference 1-2
Non-Conf 2-1
Close (7 pts or less) 1-1
FCS Opponents 1

Remaining Schedule

Opponent ranks are today’s and will move
6
games left
#76.0
avg opponent rank
#42
toughest left
43.11
pts if they win out
Week
Opponent
Win worth
8
10-24
@
+6.93
9
10-31
vs
+5.88
10
11-07
vs
+6.74
11
11-14
vs
+4.96
12
11-21
@
+8.61
13
11-28
@
+9.99

“Win worth” is base points scaled by location and the opponent’s current strength. It excludes margin and quality-win bonuses, which depend on a result that hasn’t happened.

Rank Progression

#50
#72
#94
#116
#138
Pre
#55
W3
#110
W6
#93
W9
#90
W12
#92
W15
#93

Season Breakdown

Hover Wk 15 pts for details
Week
Game
Score
Wk 6
Wk 15
Diff
1
08/29
L
NR @ #31 Virginia
8-34
-10.6
-10.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.6 -5.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -5.2
Margin Scaling
-2.3 -7.5
Against the Spread (+4, -22)
-3.0 -10.4
Total -10.4 pts
+0.2
2
09/11
W
#128 vs FCS Richmond
73-0
+0.0
+0.0
Point Breakdown
FCS Opponent - 0 pts
+0.0
3
09/19
L
#112 @ #40 Vanderbilt
31-35
-4.8
-6.3
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.5 -4.5
Loss Record Modifier
+0.2 -4.3
Margin Scaling
-0.9 -5.2
Recency Weighting
-0.9 -6.1
Against the Spread (+3, -1)
-0.2 -6.3
Total -6.3 pts
-1.5
4
09/26
W
#110 vs #56 App State
41-31
+11.4
+9.5
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
-0.9 8.1
Margin Scaling
+2.1 10.2
Against the Spread (-12.75, -2.75)
-0.7 9.5
Total 9.5 pts
-1.9
5
10/03
W
#78 vs #74 Louisville
31-28
+11.3
+13.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
+1.1 10.1
Margin Scaling
+1.0 11.1
Against the Spread (+4.25, +7.25)
+1.8 13.0
Total 13.0 pts
+1.7
6
10/10
L
#62 vs #27 Wake Forest
14-38
-12.5
-13.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+2.2 -8.2
Loss Record Modifier
+1.7 -6.5
Margin Scaling
-2.5 -9.1
Recency Weighting
-1.6 -10.7
Against the Spread (+3.75, -20.25)
-3.0 -13.7
Total -13.7 pts
-1.2
Total
3-3 Record
-5.3
-8.0
-2.7

All-Time Summary (2016-2026)

11
Seasons
77-48
Record
62%
Win Rate
#54
Avg Rank
#7
Best Rank
0.593
Avg SOS

Final Rank by Season

#1
#34
#67
#100
#134
2016
#69
2017
#35
2018
#42
2019
#107
2020
#25
2021
#32
2022
#31
2023
#31
2024
#79
2025
#49
2026
#93

Season-by-Season Breakdown

Year Conference Record Final Rank Best Rank Points SOS Champion
2026 ACC 3-3 (50%) #93 #62 -5.0 0.574 -
2025 ACC 7-5 (58%) #49 #7 58.7 0.628 -
2024 ACC 6-6 (50%) #79 #46 13.1 0.614 -
2023 ACC 9-3 (75%) #31 #10 85.4 0.602 -
2022 ACC 8-4 (67%) #31 #11 82.3 0.613 -
2021 ACC 9-3 (75%) #32 #26 91.0 0.583 -
2020 ACC 8-3 (73%) #25 #9 74.6 0.599 -
2019 ACC 4-8 (33%) #107 #31 -35.7 0.567 -
2018 ACC 9-3 (75%) #42 #13 69.9 0.511 -
2017 ACC 8-4 (67%) #35 #19 80.8 0.644 -
2016 ACC 6-6 (50%) #69 #30 23.0 0.587 -