2026 Season

Top 20 Worst Losses

The most damaging defeats of the season

View Best Wins
# Loser Lost To Week Location Venue Score Points
1
#83 App State
#120 Old Dominion
6 Home Kidd Brewer Stadium 3-10 -16.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-1.3 -11.7
Loss Record Modifier
-1.6 -13.3
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -13.9
Against the Spread (-9, -16)
-3.0 -16.9
Total -16.9 pts
2
#110 Utah State
NR Idaho State
1 Home Maverik Stadium 17-29 -16.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -13.7
Against the Spread (-15, -27)
-3.0 -16.7
Total -16.7 pts
3
#115 Marshall
#116 Coastal Carolina
6 Home Joan C. Edwards Stadium 21-27 -16.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-1.2 -11.6
Loss Record Modifier
-1.8 -13.4
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -14.0
Against the Spread (-4.5, -10.5)
-2.6 -16.6
Total -16.6 pts
4
#92 UConn
#108 Maryland
2 Home Pratt & Whitney Stadium 14-38 -16.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.7 -8.7
Loss Record Modifier
-0.4 -9.1
Margin Scaling
-2.4 -11.5
Recency Weighting
-2.1 -13.6
Against the Spread (+11.5, -12.5)
-3.0 -16.6
Total -16.6 pts
5
#86 Miami (OH)
#107 Bowling Green
5 Home Yager Stadium 20-24 -16.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-1.1 -11.5
Loss Record Modifier
-1.3 -12.8
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -13.4
Against the Spread (-11.25, -15.25)
-3.0 -16.4
Total -16.4 pts
6
#138 Charlotte
NR The Citadel
1 Home Jerry Richardson Stadium 41-43 -16.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.3 -13.2
Against the Spread (-20.5, -22.5)
-3.0 -16.2
Total -16.2 pts
7
#135 UL Monroe
NR SE Louisiana
3 Home Malone Stadium 35-38 -16.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.3 -13.2
Against the Spread (-9.75, -12.75)
-3.0 -16.2
Total -16.2 pts
8
#73 Toledo
#85 Buffalo
6 Home Glass Bowl 8-23 -16.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.7 -11.1
Loss Record Modifier
-0.6 -11.7
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -13.2
Against the Spread (-18.75, -33.75)
-3.0 -16.1
Total -16.1 pts
9
#137 UTEP
#98 Nevada
6 Home Sun Bowl 13-30 -16.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.9 -11.3
Loss Record Modifier
-1.5 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-1.4 -14.3
Against the Spread (+10, -7)
-1.8 -16.1
Total -16.1 pts
10
#136 Sacramento State
#72 Massachusetts
4 Home Hornet Stadium 6-35 -16.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.4 -10.8
Loss Record Modifier
+0.0 -10.8
Margin Scaling
-2.2 -13.0
Against the Spread (+6, -23)
-3.0 -16.0
Total -16.0 pts
11
#72 Massachusetts
#80 Eastern Michigan
5 Home Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium 14-38 -15.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.6 -11.0
Loss Record Modifier
+0.1 -10.9
Margin Scaling
-1.9 -12.8
Against the Spread (-5.75, -29.75)
-3.0 -15.8
Total -15.8 pts
12
#98 Nevada
NR Montana State
2 Home Mackay Stadium 7-20 -15.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -13.7
Against the Spread (+5, -8)
-2.0 -15.7
Total -15.7 pts
13
#107 Bowling Green
NR Tarleton State
1 Home Doyt L. Perry Stadium 13-20 -15.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.5 -13.4
Against the Spread (-1.75, -8.75)
-2.2 -15.6
Total -15.6 pts
14
#62 South Florida
#113 Temple
5 Home Raymond James Stadium 13-17 -15.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.7 -11.1
Loss Record Modifier
-1.3 -12.4
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -13.0
Against the Spread (-5.5, -9.5)
-2.4 -15.4
Total -15.4 pts
15
#127 Rutgers
#72 Massachusetts
1 Home SHI Stadium 21-37 -15.3
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.4 -10.8
Loss Record Modifier
+0.0 -10.8
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -12.3
Against the Spread (-29.25, -45.25)
-3.0 -15.3
Total -15.3 pts
16
#102 Colorado State
#42 Oregon State
5 Home Canvas Stadium 26-56 -15.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.1 -10.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -9.8
Margin Scaling
-2.3 -12.1
Against the Spread (+7, -23)
-3.0 -15.1
Total -15.1 pts
17
#138 Charlotte
#57 Louisiana
4 Home Jerry Richardson Stadium 7-34 -15.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.2 -10.6
Loss Record Modifier
+0.6 -10.0
Margin Scaling
-2.0 -12.0
Against the Spread (+9.25, -17.75)
-3.0 -15.0
Total -15.0 pts
18
#137 UTEP
#42 Oregon State
4 Home Sun Bowl 7-33 -14.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.1 -10.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -9.8
Margin Scaling
-2.1 -11.9
Against the Spread (+11.5, -14.5)
-3.0 -14.9
Total -14.9 pts
19
#126 Southern Miss
#92 UConn
3 Home M. M. Roberts Stadium 20-48 -14.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.4 -9.0
Loss Record Modifier
-0.5 -9.5
Margin Scaling
-2.4 -11.9
Against the Spread (+3.5, -24.5)
-3.0 -14.9
Total -14.9 pts
20
#134 Akron
#46 UNLV
4 Home InfoCision Stadium 10-38 -14.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.0 -10.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.6 -9.8
Margin Scaling
-2.1 -11.9
Against the Spread (+13.5, -14.5)
-3.0 -14.9
Total -14.9 pts
1
#83 App State
#120 Old Dominion
6 Kidd Brewer Stadium 3-10 -16.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-1.3 -11.7
Loss Record Modifier
-1.6 -13.3
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -13.9
Against the Spread (-9, -16)
-3.0 -16.9
Total -16.9 pts
2
#110 Utah State
NR Idaho State
1 Maverik Stadium 17-29 -16.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -13.7
Against the Spread (-15, -27)
-3.0 -16.7
Total -16.7 pts
3
#115 Marshall
#116 Coastal Carolina
6 Joan C. Edwards Stadium 21-27 -16.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-1.2 -11.6
Loss Record Modifier
-1.8 -13.4
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -14.0
Against the Spread (-4.5, -10.5)
-2.6 -16.6
Total -16.6 pts
4
#92 UConn
#108 Maryland
2 Pratt & Whitney Stadium 14-38 -16.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.7 -8.7
Loss Record Modifier
-0.4 -9.1
Margin Scaling
-2.4 -11.5
Recency Weighting
-2.1 -13.6
Against the Spread (+11.5, -12.5)
-3.0 -16.6
Total -16.6 pts
5
#86 Miami (OH)
#107 Bowling Green
5 Yager Stadium 20-24 -16.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-1.1 -11.5
Loss Record Modifier
-1.3 -12.8
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -13.4
Against the Spread (-11.25, -15.25)
-3.0 -16.4
Total -16.4 pts
6
#138 Charlotte
NR The Citadel
1 Jerry Richardson Stadium 41-43 -16.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.3 -13.2
Against the Spread (-20.5, -22.5)
-3.0 -16.2
Total -16.2 pts
7
#135 UL Monroe
NR SE Louisiana
3 Malone Stadium 35-38 -16.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.3 -13.2
Against the Spread (-9.75, -12.75)
-3.0 -16.2
Total -16.2 pts
8
#73 Toledo
#85 Buffalo
6 Glass Bowl 8-23 -16.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.7 -11.1
Loss Record Modifier
-0.6 -11.7
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -13.2
Against the Spread (-18.75, -33.75)
-3.0 -16.1
Total -16.1 pts
9
#137 UTEP
#98 Nevada
6 Sun Bowl 13-30 -16.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.9 -11.3
Loss Record Modifier
-1.5 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-1.4 -14.3
Against the Spread (+10, -7)
-1.8 -16.1
Total -16.1 pts
10
#136 Sacramento State
#72 Massachusetts
4 Hornet Stadium 6-35 -16.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.4 -10.8
Loss Record Modifier
+0.0 -10.8
Margin Scaling
-2.2 -13.0
Against the Spread (+6, -23)
-3.0 -16.0
Total -16.0 pts
11
#72 Massachusetts
#80 Eastern Michigan
5 Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium 14-38 -15.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.6 -11.0
Loss Record Modifier
+0.1 -10.9
Margin Scaling
-1.9 -12.8
Against the Spread (-5.75, -29.75)
-3.0 -15.8
Total -15.8 pts
12
#98 Nevada
NR Montana State
2 Mackay Stadium 7-20 -15.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -13.7
Against the Spread (+5, -8)
-2.0 -15.7
Total -15.7 pts
13
#107 Bowling Green
NR Tarleton State
1 Doyt L. Perry Stadium 13-20 -15.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-2.5 -12.9
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -12.9
Margin Scaling
-0.5 -13.4
Against the Spread (-1.75, -8.75)
-2.2 -15.6
Total -15.6 pts
14
#62 South Florida
#113 Temple
5 Raymond James Stadium 13-17 -15.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.7 -11.1
Loss Record Modifier
-1.3 -12.4
Margin Scaling
-0.6 -13.0
Against the Spread (-5.5, -9.5)
-2.4 -15.4
Total -15.4 pts
15
#127 Rutgers
#72 Massachusetts
1 SHI Stadium 21-37 -15.3
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.4 -10.8
Loss Record Modifier
+0.0 -10.8
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -12.3
Against the Spread (-29.25, -45.25)
-3.0 -15.3
Total -15.3 pts
16
#102 Colorado State
#42 Oregon State
5 Canvas Stadium 26-56 -15.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.1 -10.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -9.8
Margin Scaling
-2.3 -12.1
Against the Spread (+7, -23)
-3.0 -15.1
Total -15.1 pts
17
#138 Charlotte
#57 Louisiana
4 Jerry Richardson Stadium 7-34 -15.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.2 -10.6
Loss Record Modifier
+0.6 -10.0
Margin Scaling
-2.0 -12.0
Against the Spread (+9.25, -17.75)
-3.0 -15.0
Total -15.0 pts
18
#137 UTEP
#42 Oregon State
4 Sun Bowl 7-33 -14.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.1 -10.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -9.8
Margin Scaling
-2.1 -11.9
Against the Spread (+11.5, -14.5)
-3.0 -14.9
Total -14.9 pts
19
#126 Southern Miss
#92 UConn
3 M. M. Roberts Stadium 20-48 -14.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.4 -9.0
Loss Record Modifier
-0.5 -9.5
Margin Scaling
-2.4 -11.9
Against the Spread (+3.5, -24.5)
-3.0 -14.9
Total -14.9 pts
20
#134 Akron
#46 UNLV
4 InfoCision Stadium 10-38 -14.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.0 -10.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.6 -9.8
Margin Scaling
-2.1 -11.9
Against the Spread (+13.5, -14.5)
-3.0 -14.9
Total -14.9 pts
1
#119 Western Kentucky
#98 Nevada
1 Mackay Stadium 14-49 -12.5
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.5 -6.5
Loss Record Modifier
-0.9 -7.4
Margin Scaling
-2.1 -9.5
Against the Spread (-0.25, -35.25)
-3.0 -12.5
Total -12.5 pts
2
#136 Sacramento State
#107 Bowling Green
6 Doyt L. Perry Stadium 10-38 -12.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.6 -6.6
Loss Record Modifier
-0.8 -7.4
Margin Scaling
-1.8 -9.2
Against the Spread (+9.5, -18.5)
-3.0 -12.2
Total -12.2 pts
3
#119 Western Kentucky
#118 New Mexico State
5 Aggie Memorial Stadium 13-34 -12.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.7 -6.7
Loss Record Modifier
-1.0 -7.8
Margin Scaling
-1.4 -9.1
Against the Spread (+1.5, -19.5)
-3.0 -12.1
Total -12.1 pts
4
#95 Wyoming
#102 Colorado State
1 Canvas Stadium 13-35 -11.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.6 -6.6
Loss Record Modifier
-0.5 -7.1
Margin Scaling
-1.8 -8.9
Against the Spread (+2.75, -19.25)
-3.0 -11.9
Total -11.9 pts
5
#128 Missouri State
#119 Western Kentucky
6 Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium 13-34 -11.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.8 -6.8
Loss Record Modifier
-0.7 -7.4
Margin Scaling
-1.4 -8.8
Against the Spread (-1.75, -22.75)
-3.0 -11.8
Total -11.8 pts
6
#71 Tulsa
#106 Arkansas
4 Razorback Stadium 6-34 -11.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.2 -4.8
Loss Record Modifier
-0.1 -4.9
Margin Scaling
-2.5 -7.5
Recency Weighting
-1.3 -8.8
Against the Spread (+7, -21)
-3.0 -11.8
Total -11.8 pts
7
#134 Akron
#88 Central Michigan
5 Kelly/Shorts Stadium 17-41 -11.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.4 -6.4
Loss Record Modifier
-0.3 -6.8
Margin Scaling
-1.9 -8.7
Against the Spread (+6.75, -17.25)
-3.0 -11.7
Total -11.7 pts
8
#132 Hawai'i
#95 Wyoming
4 War Memorial Stadium 10-27 -11.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.5 -6.5
Loss Record Modifier
-0.5 -7.0
Margin Scaling
-1.4 -8.4
Against the Spread (-2.25, -19.25)
-3.0 -11.4
Total -11.4 pts
9
#115 Marshall
#66 Penn State
1 Beaver Stadium 0-45 -11.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.8 -4.2
Loss Record Modifier
+0.2 -4.0
Margin Scaling
-3.1 -7.1
Recency Weighting
-1.3 -8.4
Against the Spread (+23.25, -21.75)
-3.0 -11.4
Total -11.4 pts
10
#103 Middle Tennessee
#97 Kansas
5 Memorial Stadium 0-55 -11.3
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.4 -5.6
Loss Record Modifier
-0.3 -5.8
Margin Scaling
-2.5 -8.3
Against the Spread (+21, -34)
-3.0 -11.3
Total -11.3 pts
11
#80 Eastern Michigan
#79 Michigan State
2 Spartan Stadium 7-35 -11.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.6 -4.4
Loss Record Modifier
-0.2 -4.6
Margin Scaling
-2.7 -7.3
Recency Weighting
-1.3 -8.6
Against the Spread (+17.5, -10.5)
-2.6 -11.2
Total -11.2 pts
12
#131 Ball State
#123 Kent State
4 Dix Stadium 13-26 -11.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.8 -6.8
Loss Record Modifier
-0.7 -7.5
Margin Scaling
-1.0 -8.4
Against the Spread (+2.5, -10.5)
-2.6 -11.1
Total -11.1 pts
13
#123 Kent State
#59 Western Michigan
6 Waldo Stadium 7-38 -11.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.1 -6.1
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -5.8
Margin Scaling
-2.2 -8.0
Against the Spread (+13.75, -17.25)
-3.0 -11.0
Total -11.0 pts
14
#63 Virginia
#75 Florida State
5 Doak Campbell Stadium 7-38 -11.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.4 -5.6
Loss Record Modifier
+0.1 -5.5
Margin Scaling
-2.5 -8.0
Against the Spread (-1.25, -32.25)
-3.0 -11.0
Total -11.0 pts
15
#121 San Diego State
#73 Toledo
4 Glass Bowl 16-41 -11.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.3 -6.3
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -6.0
Margin Scaling
-1.9 -8.0
Against the Spread (+2.75, -22.25)
-3.0 -11.0
Total -11.0 pts
16
#121 San Diego State
#42 Oregon State
6 Reser Stadium 14-66 -11.0
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.1 -5.9
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -5.7
Margin Scaling
-2.3 -8.0
Against the Spread (+14.5, -37.5)
-3.0 -11.0
Total -11.0 pts
17
#136 Sacramento State
#47 Fresno State
2 Valley Children's Stadium 3-49 -10.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.0 -6.0
Loss Record Modifier
+0.4 -5.6
Margin Scaling
-2.3 -7.9
Against the Spread (+18, -28)
-3.0 -10.9
Total -10.9 pts
18
#100 Texas State
#121 San Diego State
5 Snapdragon Stadium 29-31 -10.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.8 -6.8
Loss Record Modifier
-0.8 -7.6
Margin Scaling
-0.4 -8.0
Against the Spread (-9.75, -11.75)
-2.9 -10.9
Total -10.9 pts
19
#95 Wyoming
#88 Central Michigan
3 Kelly/Shorts Stadium 10-24 -10.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.4 -6.4
Loss Record Modifier
-0.3 -6.8
Margin Scaling
-1.1 -7.8
Against the Spread (-1.75, -15.75)
-3.0 -10.8
Total -10.8 pts
20
#118 New Mexico State
#65 Florida International
6 Pitbull Stadium 3-22 -10.8
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.2 -6.2
Loss Record Modifier
-0.1 -6.2
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -7.8
Against the Spread (+7, -12)
-3.0 -10.8
Total -10.8 pts
1
#63 Virginia
#96 West Virginia
3 Bank of America Stadium 27-38 -10.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.5 -6.3
Loss Record Modifier
-0.0 -6.3
Margin Scaling
-1.2 -7.6
Against the Spread (-10.75, -21.75)
-3.0 -10.6
Total -10.6 pts
2
#112 TCU
#48 North Carolina
1 Aviva Stadium 10-15 -9.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.9 -5.9
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -5.4
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -6.2
Against the Spread (-7.5, -12.5)
-3.0 -9.2
Total -9.2 pts
3
#27 Wisconsin
#3 Notre Dame
1 Lambeau Field 13-41 -8.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+2.7 -4.1
Loss Record Modifier
+1.5 -2.6
Margin Scaling
-3.0 -5.6
Recency Weighting
-1.0 -6.6
Against the Spread (+20.75, -7.25)
-1.8 -8.4
Total -8.4 pts
4
#97 Kansas
#89 Arizona State
3 Wembley Stadium 17-24 -7.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.6 -6.2
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -5.9
Margin Scaling
-0.8 -6.6
Against the Spread (+5.25, -1.75)
-0.4 -7.1
Total -7.1 pts
5
#7 Texas
#23 Oklahoma
6 Cotton Bowl 24-27 -6.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+3.4 -3.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -2.9
Margin Scaling
-0.7 -3.6
Recency Weighting
-0.6 -4.2
Against the Spread (-7.75, -10.75)
-2.7 -6.9
Total -6.9 pts
6
#64 Louisville
#15 Ole Miss
1 Nissan Stadium 38-41 -2.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+3.4 -3.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.9 -2.5
Margin Scaling
-0.7 -3.2
Recency Weighting
-0.6 -3.8
Against the Spread (+6.5, +3.5)
+0.9 -2.9
Total -2.9 pts
7
#37 Baylor
#44 Auburn
1 Mercedes-Benz Stadium 16-17 -2.4
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+1.2 -6.8
Loss Opp Modifier
+3.4 -3.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.5 -2.9
Margin Scaling
-0.3 -3.2
Recency Weighting
-0.6 -3.8
Against the Spread (+6.5, +5.5)
+1.4 -2.4
Total -2.4 pts

What Makes a Bad Loss?

Opponent Strength

Losses to lower-ranked opponents hurt more. Losing to a team ranked #100+ is far more damaging than losing to a top 10 team.

Location Modifier

Home losses are penalized more heavily than road losses. Losing at home to a weak opponent is one of the worst outcomes.

Margin of Defeat

Getting blown out increases the penalty. A 40-point home loss to a bad team is catastrophic for rankings.