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Mid-American

Toledo

2026 Season Performance

#73
Rank
4-2
Record
6.0
Points
0.476
SOS

Current Form

L1 streak
COLD
Last 3 2-1
Last 5 4-1

Key Games

Best W vs #82 Temple 49-48
Worst L vs #122 Buffalo 8-23

Record Splits

Home 3-1
Away 1-1
Conference 1-1
Non-Conf 3-1
Close (7 pts or less) 1-0
FCS Opponents 1

Remaining Schedule

Opponent ranks are today’s and will move
6
games left
#84.5
avg opponent rank
#53
toughest left
20.66
pts if they win out
Week
Opponent
Win worth
7
10-17
@
#71 Eastern Michigan
4-3
+4.43
8
10-24
vs
#61 Western Michigan
4-2
+3.1
10
11-04
@
#136 Sacramento State
1-5
+3.03
11
11-11
vs
#78 Massachusetts
4-2
+2.86
12
11-21
vs
#108 Bowling Green
2-4
+2.42
13
11-27
@
#53 Ohio
4-2
+4.82

“Win worth” is base points scaled by location and the opponent’s current strength. It excludes margin and quality-win bonuses, which depend on a result that hasn’t happened.

Rank Progression

#43
#61
#79
#97
#116
Pre
#48
W3
#74
W6
#73
W9
#72
W12
#71
W15
#73

Season Breakdown

Hover Wk 15 pts for details
Week
Game
Score
Wk 6
Wk 15
Diff
1
09/05
L
NR @ #83 Michigan State
20-30
-5.8
-7.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+1.6 -4.4
Loss Record Modifier
-0.2 -4.6
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -6.1
Recency Weighting
-1.1 -7.2
Against the Spread (+10, +0)
+0.0 -7.2
Total -7.2 pts
-1.4
2
09/12
W
#106 vs #126 Central Connecticut
63-10
+0.0
+0.0
Point Breakdown
FCS Opponent - 0 pts
+0.0
3
09/19
W
#81 vs #82 Temple
49-48 OT
+7.3
+5.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
-2.5 6.5
Margin Scaling
+0.4 6.9
Against the Spread (-4.75, -3.75)
-0.9 5.9
Total 5.9 pts
-1.4
4
09/26
W
#74 vs #125 San Diego State
41-16
+13.6
+12.5
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
-3.0 6.0
Margin Scaling
+3.5 9.5
Against the Spread (-2.75, +22.25)
+3.0 12.5
Total 12.5 pts
-1.0
5
10/03
W
#53 @ #129 Ball State
39-24
+8.3
+8.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
+3.5 13.5
Win Opp Modifier
-6.5 7.0
Margin Scaling
+2.7 9.6
Against the Spread (-20.75, -5.75)
-1.4 8.2
Total 8.2 pts
-0.1
6
10/10
L
#53 vs #122 Buffalo
8-23
-17.3
-16.1
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.7 -11.1
Loss Record Modifier
-0.6 -11.7
Margin Scaling
-1.5 -13.2
Against the Spread (-18.75, -33.75)
-3.0 -16.1
Total -16.1 pts
+1.2
Total
4-2 Record
6.0
3.3
-2.7

All-Time Summary (2016-2026)

11
Seasons
82-42
Record
66%
Win Rate
#59
Avg Rank
#17
Best Rank
0.442
Avg SOS
2
Conf Titles

Final Rank by Season

#1
#34
#67
#100
#134
2016
#48
2017
#29
2018
#72
2019
#80
2020
#67
2021
#79
2022
#62
2023
#20
2024
#71
2025
#53
2026
#73

Season-by-Season Breakdown

Year Conference Record Final Rank Best Rank Points SOS Champion
2026 Mid-American 4-2 (67%) #73 #53 3.3 0.454 -
2025 Mid-American 8-4 (67%) #53 #22 55.9 0.425 -
2024 Mid-American 7-5 (58%) #71 #19 26.6 0.437 -
2023 Mid-American 11-2 (85%) #20 #18 108.6 0.500 -
2022 Mid-American 8-5 (62%) #62 #48 38.5 0.446 MAC
2021 Mid-American 7-6 (54%) #79 #66 14.4 0.447 -
2020 Mid-American 4-2 (67%) #67 #54 16.5 0.400 -
2019 Mid-American 6-6 (50%) #80 #46 5.1 0.482 -
2018 Mid-American 7-5 (58%) #72 #67 22.5 0.418 -
2017 Mid-American 11-2 (85%) #29 #29 96.5 0.420 MAC
2016 Mid-American 9-3 (75%) #48 #17 65.9 0.430 -