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Sun Belt

Arkansas State

2026 Season Performance

#123
Rank
2-4
Record
-26.9
Points
0.524
SOS

Current Form

L2 streak
Last 3 1-2
Last 5 2-3

Key Games

Best W vs #113 Kennesaw State 17-14
Worst L @ #96 TCU 7-31

Record Splits

Home 2-1
Away 0-3
Conference 0-2
Non-Conf 2-2
Close (7 pts or less) 1-2
FCS Opponents 1

Remaining Schedule

Opponent ranks are today’s and will move
6
games left
#95.2
avg opponent rank
#49
toughest left
23.34
pts if they win out
Week
Opponent
Win worth
7
10-17
@
#128 Southern Miss
1-4
+3.86
8
10-24
vs
#49 Georgia State
4-1
+3.94
10
11-07
vs
#135 UL Monroe
0-5
+2.45
11
11-14
@
#115 Coastal Carolina
2-4
+4.2
12
11-21
@
#68 Louisiana Tech
3-2
+5.42
13
11-28
vs
#76 Troy
3-2
+3.47

“Win worth” is base points scaled by location and the opponent’s current strength. It excludes margin and quality-win bonuses, which depend on a result that hasn’t happened.

Rank Progression

#82
#95
#108
#121
#134
Pre
#101
W3
#117
W6
#123
W9
#124
W12
#124
W15
#124

Season Breakdown

Hover Wk 15 pts for details
Week
Game
Score
Wk 6
Wk 15
Diff
1
09/05
L
NR @ #39 Memphis
24-42
-8.7
-8.5
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.6 -5.4
Loss Record Modifier
+0.6 -4.8
Margin Scaling
-1.8 -6.6
Against the Spread (+10.5, -7.5)
-1.9 -8.5
Total -8.5 pts
+0.2
2
09/12
W
#113 vs #44 West Georgia
52-7
+0.0
+0.0
Point Breakdown
FCS Opponent - 0 pts
+0.0
3
09/20
L
#87 @ #96 TCU
7-31
-9.5
-9.6
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
+0.2 -5.8
Loss Record Modifier
-0.4 -6.3
Margin Scaling
-2.1 -8.4
Against the Spread (+19, -5)
-1.2 -9.6
Total -9.6 pts
-0.2
4
09/26
W
#117 vs #113 Kennesaw State
17-14
+5.6
+4.9
Point Breakdown
Base Points
+10.0 10.0
Location Modifiers
-1.0 9.0
Win Opp Modifier
-4.0 5.0
Margin Scaling
+0.8 5.8
Against the Spread (-6.5, -3.5)
-0.9 4.9
Total 4.9 pts
-0.7
5
10/04
L
#97 @ #50 Louisiana
20-23
-5.1
-5.7
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
+2.0 -6.0
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.1 -6.1
Loss Record Modifier
+0.3 -5.8
Margin Scaling
-0.5 -6.2
Against the Spread (+5.25, +2.25)
+0.6 -5.7
Total -5.7 pts
-0.6
6
10/08
L
#109 vs #73 South Alabama
49-56
-13.7
-13.2
Point Breakdown
Base Points
-8.0 -8.0
Location Modifiers
-2.4 -10.4
Loss Opp Modifier
-0.2 -10.6
Loss Record Modifier
+0.6 -10.0
Margin Scaling
-0.7 -10.7
Against the Spread (-3, -10)
-2.5 -13.2
Total -13.2 pts
+0.6
Total
2-4 Record
-31.4
-32.0
-0.6

All-Time Summary (2016-2026)

11
Seasons
59-65
Record
48%
Win Rate
#90
Avg Rank
#8
Best Rank
0.465
Avg SOS

Final Rank by Season

#1
#34
#67
#100
#134
2016
#64
2017
#64
2018
#62
2019
#69
2020
#103
2021
#124
2022
#121
2023
#84
2024
#84
2025
#87
2026
#124

Season-by-Season Breakdown

Year Conference Record Final Rank Best Rank Points SOS Champion
2026 Sun Belt 2-4 (33%) #124 #87 -27.5 0.508 -
2025 Sun Belt 6-6 (50%) #87 #79 -3.3 0.446 -
2024 Sun Belt 7-5 (58%) #84 #32 7.5 0.485 -
2023 Sun Belt 6-6 (50%) #84 #73 2.1 0.467 -
2022 Sun Belt 3-9 (25%) #121 #81 -62.7 0.477 -
2021 Sun Belt 2-10 (17%) #124 #52 -82.6 0.443 -
2020 Sun Belt 4-7 (36%) #103 #8 -22.4 0.471 -
2019 Sun Belt 7-5 (58%) #69 #28 23.9 0.494 -
2018 Sun Belt 8-4 (67%) #62 #47 37.8 0.449 -
2017 Sun Belt 7-4 (64%) #64 #51 30.9 0.420 -
2016 Sun Belt 7-5 (58%) #64 #58 30.6 0.456 -